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#21
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bookseller?
Some Guy writes:
Leaving books you're listing at the public library sale is going to be about as successful as putting them on the sidewalk in front of your house WRT being able to go get them again after you've made a sale. If I understand you correctly, here and in your other posting, you seem to be thinking in terms of sporadic book sales, which I agree would not make it possible to get the book to the client within a few days of the book being ordered. But some libraries have continuous book sales by allocating some permanent space for sale books. So, there would be daily access. Allan Adler wrote: Someone suggested that the books move too quickly for such a scheme to work. I'm not sure that is true. You're welcome to run any field tests you care to make. Do let us know what the results are. Actually, I was thinking in terms of articulation and computer simulation of the relevant stochastic processes. I'm not good at doing that, but I'm making some inquiries. In your other posting, you mention that you are familiar with some theoretical models. Can you describe any that might apply here? -- Ignorantly, Allan Adler * Disclaimer: I am a guest and *not* a member of the MIT CSAIL. My actions and * comments do not reflect in any way on MIT. Also, I am nowhere near Boston. |
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#22
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bookseller?
Some Guy writes:
You'd have to have a library with a hefty collection of valuable books that keep being put out for sale at low rates, where almost no one except this bookseller comes and buys them, and the book sale is one that allows the bookseller access within the time frame required by the listing services for shipping, which I believe is either 2 days or 3 days for Amazon. Valuable books tend to disappear from library sales much faster than they are ordered online, but the returns from the eventual sale nearly always makes it worthwhile to snap it up right away for the astute seller. It's just too darn risky to do otherwise. I addressed the issue of access in my reply to your other posting, so let me focus on what you say about valuable books. The topic of valuable or, rather, very expensive books arose in this thread in connection with pricing strategies, and I don't really disagree with what was said about that. But maybe that isn't what you are referring to. Maybe you just mean books that one can sell for much more than the $2 one is likely to pay for them at the booksale and which might really be in demand through Amazon. If such a book actually comes along, I would agree that one should grab it. The 2-volume work of Kobayashi and Nomizu on differential geometry, absolutely, they should simply spend the $2 per volume and buy it. However, the books that this person was carefully going through and checking against Amazon were just the ordinary kind of stuff that one finds at library book sales. I think stuff like that tends to move more slowly. For the most part, it is not qualitatively different from stuff one sees being sold by sidewalk book vendors and their stuff doesn't seem to change much when I look at their tables. Even there one does occasionally find some worthwhile books: I found a student edition of Demosthenes in Greek and a copy of Liddell and Scott and a book on Latin prose composition, all in reasonably good shape, and took all the ones I didn't already own; but I buy books to read them and to use them for reference, not to resell or collect them. Assuming there are some booksellers operating as I have described, it is quite possible that they are not very successful. It is also possible that they are making enough money to make it worth their while. The latter case probably happens about as often as winged monkeys make their exit from one's nether regions. Having assisted a bookseller who was hunting for inventory at library sales in the face of other booksellers doing the same thing, I know that such a possibility is not worth considering for someone who's planning on eating based on the results. If you don't mind sharing your experiences, I'd like to know more about how the bookseller you assisted operated at library book sales, and how they operate in general at book sales. Or one could go to a library sale after finding out who are the local booksellers and seeing what is left over after they've picked the place clean. I would recognize them by their laptops? -- Ignorantly, Allan Adler * Disclaimer: I am a guest and *not* a member of the MIT CSAIL. My actions and * comments do not reflect in any way on MIT. Also, I am nowhere near Boston. |
#23
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bookseller?
"Bill" wrote in message ups.com... You may be right, but I was using the "let's assume the poster is correct -- then what?" approach. Bilp, everyone in usenet wishes you would die. And yet you've never used the "let's assume the poster is correct -- then what?" theory to conclude you should blow your brains out. Why is that? |
#24
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bookseller?
Allan Adler wrote:
Some Guy writes: Leaving books you're listing at the public library sale is going to be about as successful as putting them on the sidewalk in front of your house WRT being able to go get them again after you've made a sale. If I understand you correctly, here and in your other posting, you seem to be thinking in terms of sporadic book sales, which I agree would not make it possible to get the book to the client within a few days of the book being ordered. But some libraries have continuous book sales by allocating some permanent space for sale books. So, there would be daily access. Sure, that's one aspect. But the much more important one is that other people have access to "your" stock and can take it away from you without there being anything you can do about it. That will virtually certainly result in a high non-fulfillment rate for you, and consequently eventual ejection from the listing services. Allan Adler wrote: Someone suggested that the books move too quickly for such a scheme to work. I'm not sure that is true. You're welcome to run any field tests you care to make. Do let us know what the results are. Actually, I was thinking in terms of articulation and computer simulation of the relevant stochastic processes. I'm not good at doing that, but I'm making some inquiries. In your other posting, you mention that you are familiar with some theoretical models. Can you describe any that might apply here? Well, I've described one already in another post, e.g. that circumstances have to be so heavily and unrealistically tilted in the favor of such a bookseller that an extraordinary situation is the only wherein their scheme could work. As far as computer models, I can't help you with that; but I can tell you that I have seen library sales before and after the booksellers have gone through the lots, and the results bode ill for anyone trying to make a living on the leftovers. |
#25
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bookseller?
Allan Adler wrote:
Some Guy writes: You'd have to have a library with a hefty collection of valuable books that keep being put out for sale at low rates, where almost no one except this bookseller comes and buys them, and the book sale is one that allows the bookseller access within the time frame required by the listing services for shipping, which I believe is either 2 days or 3 days for Amazon. Valuable books tend to disappear from library sales much faster than they are ordered online, but the returns from the eventual sale nearly always makes it worthwhile to snap it up right away for the astute seller. It's just too darn risky to do otherwise. I addressed the issue of access in my reply to your other posting, so let me focus on what you say about valuable books. The topic of valuable or, rather, very expensive books arose in this thread in connection with pricing strategies, and I don't really disagree with what was said about that. Always realizing that "valuable" and "expensive" are not quite the same thing. "Vaulable" in this case implies a level of demand consistent with the high price tag, whereas "expensive" simply means there is a high price tag that might ultimately never result in a sale. But maybe that isn't what you are referring to. Maybe you just mean books that one can sell for much more than the $2 one is likely to pay for them at the booksale and which might really be in demand through Amazon. If such a book actually comes along, I would agree that one should grab it. The 2-volume work of Kobayashi and Nomizu on differential geometry, absolutely, they should simply spend the $2 per volume and buy it. Although this discussion started with Amazon in mind, keep in mind that there are other online listing services which affect the total online bookselling market. However, the books that this person was carefully going through and checking against Amazon were just the ordinary kind of stuff that one finds at library book sales. I think stuff like that tends to move more slowly. For the most part, it is not qualitatively different from stuff one sees being sold by sidewalk book vendors and their stuff doesn't seem to change much when I look at their tables. Even there one does occasionally find some worthwhile books: I found a student edition of Demosthenes in Greek and a copy of Liddell and Scott and a book on Latin prose composition, all in reasonably good shape, and took all the ones I didn't already own; but I buy books to read them and to use them for reference, not to resell or collect them. There are two other reasons why the person might have been checking what looked like normal, not particularly valuable books besides making a list of material he/she was going to list on line but store at the library. In my opinion, one of these is more likely based on my experiences: A. The person was a newbie who does not have enough experience to recognize valuable (or potentially valuable) books on sight and so was being slow & methodical in learning what was what. B. The person was checking for sleepers that booksellers might have missed. No bookseller knows every valuable book in existence, and it has happened that I've pulled good stuff from a library sale after the other booksellers have been through it, but this has not been common and has been limited to specific books in niche markets I knew from experience would sell quickly and highly. I certainly could not support myself on such books since they happen along so rarely. Assuming there are some booksellers operating as I have described, it is quite possible that they are not very successful. It is also possible that they are making enough money to make it worth their while. The latter case probably happens about as often as winged monkeys make their exit from one's nether regions. Having assisted a bookseller who was hunting for inventory at library sales in the face of other booksellers doing the same thing, I know that such a possibility is not worth considering for someone who's planning on eating based on the results. If you don't mind sharing your experiences, I'd like to know more about how the bookseller you assisted operated at library book sales, and how they operate in general at book sales. Since she has passed away and her business is being sold off, I don't see any reason not to. If I decide to enter the bookselling business myself, my supply won't be based on library sales. Bear in mind that these are MY experiences, not necessarily a universal manner in which they operate, though I would be surprised at any significant and widespread variance. A good bookseller knows which libraries tend to end up with the best donations and thus which ones are worth spending time exploring. Usually each bookseller will have some area in which they have more expertise and so will concentrate on such books, so among several booksellers you'll usually have enough to cover the majority of interests at the better library sales. Often, they will strive to be one of the first ones in the door if they can to get first look at the tables or shelves. Depending on the bookseller's skill, they'll either quickly skim the rows and pluck out the good stuff with dispatch, or where they're not sure they will just grab things they think are worthwhile and make a big pile, then go through and check them in more detail, either through technology (e.g. laptops or Amazon scanners) or their own evaluation where they don't trust a rapid glance enough. They will then return to the library shelves or tables the books they have decided or discovered are not worth buying. Or one could go to a library sale after finding out who are the local booksellers and seeing what is left over after they've picked the place clean. I would recognize them by their laptops? Well, some of them. Though I have to say that having an iPhone is now going to make it even easier to pick out the good stuff in advance, but also take some of the excitement out of the process. It'll also make it even harder to find sleepers, as they can be looked up relatively easily now. |
#26
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bookseller?
Some Guy wrote:
Allan Adler wrote: Some Guy writes: You'd have to have a library with a hefty collection of valuable books that keep being put out for sale at low rates, where almost no one except this bookseller comes and buys them, and the book sale is one that allows the bookseller access within the time frame required by the listing services for shipping, which I believe is either 2 days or 3 days for Amazon. Valuable books tend to disappear from library sales much faster than they are ordered online, but the returns from the eventual sale nearly always makes it worthwhile to snap it up right away for the astute seller. It's just too darn risky to do otherwise. I addressed the issue of access in my reply to your other posting, so let me focus on what you say about valuable books. The topic of valuable or, rather, very expensive books arose in this thread in connection with pricing strategies, and I don't really disagree with what was said about that. Always realizing that "valuable" and "expensive" are not quite the same thing. "Vaulable" in this case implies a level of demand consistent with the high price tag, whereas "expensive" simply means there is a high price tag that might ultimately never result in a sale. But maybe that isn't what you are referring to. Maybe you just mean books that one can sell for much more than the $2 one is likely to pay for them at the booksale and which might really be in demand through Amazon. If such a book actually comes along, I would agree that one should grab it. The 2-volume work of Kobayashi and Nomizu on differential geometry, absolutely, they should simply spend the $2 per volume and buy it. Although this discussion started with Amazon in mind, keep in mind that there are other online listing services which affect the total online bookselling market. However, the books that this person was carefully going through and checking against Amazon were just the ordinary kind of stuff that one finds at library book sales. I think stuff like that tends to move more slowly. For the most part, it is not qualitatively different from stuff one sees being sold by sidewalk book vendors and their stuff doesn't seem to change much when I look at their tables. Even there one does occasionally find some worthwhile books: I found a student edition of Demosthenes in Greek and a copy of Liddell and Scott and a book on Latin prose composition, all in reasonably good shape, and took all the ones I didn't already own; but I buy books to read them and to use them for reference, not to resell or collect them. There are two other reasons why the person might have been checking what looked like normal, not particularly valuable books besides making a list of material he/she was going to list on line but store at the library. In my opinion, one of these is more likely based on my experiences: A. The person was a newbie who does not have enough experience to recognize valuable (or potentially valuable) books on sight and so was being slow & methodical in learning what was what. B. The person was checking for sleepers that booksellers might have missed. No bookseller knows every valuable book in existence, and it has happened that I've pulled good stuff from a library sale after the other booksellers have been through it, but this has not been common and has been limited to specific books in niche markets I knew from experience would sell quickly and highly. I certainly could not support myself on such books since they happen along so rarely. Or both together. I once went over a table of books after a number of dealers had been through it, and picked up a first edition of Wilfred Owens's poetry. Apparently, the others were not up on the fact that he was one of the famous Waar Poets of WWI. Assuming there are some booksellers operating as I have described, it is quite possible that they are not very successful. It is also possible that they are making enough money to make it worth their while. The latter case probably happens about as often as winged monkeys make their exit from one's nether regions. Having assisted a bookseller who was hunting for inventory at library sales in the face of other booksellers doing the same thing, I know that such a possibility is not worth considering for someone who's planning on eating based on the results. If you don't mind sharing your experiences, I'd like to know more about how the bookseller you assisted operated at library book sales, and how they operate in general at book sales. Since she has passed away and her business is being sold off, I don't see any reason not to. If I decide to enter the bookselling business myself, my supply won't be based on library sales. Bear in mind that these are MY experiences, not necessarily a universal manner in which they operate, though I would be surprised at any significant and widespread variance. A good bookseller knows which libraries tend to end up with the best donations and thus which ones are worth spending time exploring. Usually each bookseller will have some area in which they have more expertise and so will concentrate on such books, so among several booksellers you'll usually have enough to cover the majority of interests at the better library sales. Often, they will strive to be one of the first ones in the door if they can to get first look at the tables or shelves. Depending on the bookseller's skill, they'll either quickly skim the rows and pluck out the good stuff with dispatch, or where they're not sure they will just grab things they think are worthwhile and make a big pile, then go through and check them in more detail, either through technology (e.g. laptops or Amazon scanners) or their own evaluation where they don't trust a rapid glance enough. They will then return to the library shelves or tables the books they have decided or discovered are not worth buying. You should see the feeding frenzy at the Glastonbury, Connecticut library book sale. It is held outside on the lawn of the library. The sale starts at 9:00 am, so by 8:45, hhundreds of people have encircled the tables outside the start line. At 9:00 sharp, a librarian sounds a horn or rings a bell, and everyone charges. Images of a movie I saw in the 50s about the great land rush with settlers' wagons wrecking themselves in the headlong dash always come to mind at that moment. One has about five minutes to find books other than those of niche interest. Francis A. Miniter |
#27
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bookseller?
Francis A. Miniter wrote:
You should see the feeding frenzy at the Glastonbury, Connecticut library book sale. It is held outside on the lawn of the library. The sale starts at 9:00 am, so by 8:45, hhundreds of people have encircled the tables outside the start line. At 9:00 sharp, a librarian sounds a horn or rings a bell, and everyone charges. Images of a movie I saw in the 50s about the great land rush with settlers' wagons wrecking themselves in the headlong dash always come to mind at that moment. One has about five minutes to find books other than those of niche interest. Apparently the library encourages this by sounding a horn or ringing a bell. Frankly, one time at a book sale like this is more than enough for me. (It seemed like this in Princeton one year, and that was a *small* sale!) Bleh. Let's remember that the goal of a library book sale is to raise money for the library now. A book might sell for $50 if the right person sees it but may sit on the shelf for years before that happens. The library would probably rather sell it for $2 now and not worry about storing it, etc. Our library has a continuing book sale, but certainly cannot put all the books out at once, so books that don't sell for a while get cycled into the back room and replaced with other books. This system does not work well with the idea of pricing by market value. -- Evelyn C. Leeper Virtue is more to be feared than vice, because its excesses are not subject to the regulation of conscience. -Adam Smith |
#28
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bookseller?
"Evelyn C. Leeper" writes:
Our library has a continuing book sale, but certainly cannot put all the books out at once, so books that don't sell for a while get cycled into the back room and replaced with other books. This system does not work well with the idea of pricing by market value. Based on this remark, I am now convinced that a bookseller operating in the manner I described would not necessarily have access to the books, even if the sale is continuous and the book is not purchased by other patrons. I think that adequately shoots down my theory without having to do any computer simulations or field studies. The stochastic modelling problem associated with my hypothesis about the bookseller's modus operandi is, however, of independent interest as a mathematical problem, and I'll keep thinking aobut it for its own sake. That won't be appropriate to discuss here, so I'll pursue that on newsgroups devoted to statistics. Anyway, I consider my original question to be completely answered. Thanks for all the helpful input in this thread. -- Ignorantly, Allan Adler * Disclaimer: I am a guest and *not* a member of the MIT CSAIL. My actions and * comments do not reflect in any way on MIT. Also, I am nowhere near Boston. |
#29
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bookseller?
Some Guy writes:
There are two other reasons why the person might have been checking what looked like normal, not particularly valuable books besides making a list of material he/she was going to list on line but store at the library. In my opinion, one of these is more likely based on my experiences: A. The person was a newbie who does not have enough experience to recognize valuable (or potentially valuable) books on sight and so was being slow & methodical in learning what was what. B. The person was checking for sleepers that booksellers might have missed. No bookseller knows every valuable book in existence, and it has happened that I've pulled good stuff from a library sale after the other booksellers have been through it, but this has not been common and has been limited to specific books in niche markets I knew from experience would sell quickly and highly. I certainly could not support myself on such books since they happen along so rarely. These explanations are quite plausible. Allan Adler wrote: If you don't mind sharing your experiences, I'd like to know more about how the bookseller you assisted operated at library book sales, and how they operate in general at book sales. Since she has passed away and her business is being sold off, I don't see any reason not to. If I decide to enter the bookselling business myself, my supply won't be based on library sales. Bear in mind that these are MY experiences, not necessarily a universal manner in which they operate, though I would be surprised at any significant and widespread variance. Thanks for sharing these experiences. they will just grab things they think are worthwhile and make a big pile, then go through and check them in more detail, either through technology (e.g. laptops or Amazon scanners) or their own evaluation where they don't trust a rapid glance enough. What is an Amazon scanner? Where does one get them? Though I have to say that having an iPhone is now going to make it even easier to pick out the good stuff in advance, but also take some of the excitement out of the process. It'll also make it even harder to find sleepers, as they can be looked up relatively easily now. I've heard of iPods but not of iPhones. How does one use it to pick out good stuff? -- Ignorantly, Allan Adler * Disclaimer: I am a guest and *not* a member of the MIT CSAIL. My actions and * comments do not reflect in any way on MIT. Also, I am nowhere near Boston. |
#30
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bookseller?
Allan Adler wrote:
Some Guy writes: [snip] they will just grab things they think are worthwhile and make a big pile, then go through and check them in more detail, either through technology (e.g. laptops or Amazon scanners) or their own evaluation where they don't trust a rapid glance enough. What is an Amazon scanner? Where does one get them? They are little hand-held devices that read a barcode on a book with an ISBN and displays what the going price is on Amazon. I've seen them in the hands of people a few times at sales. I don't know if they are sold by Amazon or a third party, but we eschewed them for a couple of reasons, one being that we were more interested in certain pre-ISBN books anyway. Though I have to say that having an iPhone is now going to make it even easier to pick out the good stuff in advance, but also take some of the excitement out of the process. It'll also make it even harder to find sleepers, as they can be looked up relatively easily now. I've heard of iPods but not of iPhones. You're joking, right? How does one use it to pick out good stuff? Nowdays many phones and PDAs have Web browers, but they are usually mini-browsers which have to cut down drastically on the way information is displayed, and in some cases cannot display certain sites at all, so their usefulness for spot-checking prices at book sales is limited. The iPhone has a full-featured Web browser and is zoomable, so you can get to many of the other book sites to look up potentially valuable books and find out what it's worth before plunking down your fifth of a sawbuck. |
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